← All Predictions

Austrian Grand Prix 2026

R · Prediction Verdict

What We Predicted
Qualifying Order (predicted)
P1RUSP2ANTP3PIAP4LECP5NORP6VERP7HADP8LAWP9HAMP10GAS
Race Finishing Order (predicted)
P1ANTP2HAMP3HADP4RUSP5NORP6LINP7VERP8LAWP9GASP10PIA
What Happened
Qualifying Order (actual)
P1RUSP2LECP3HAMP4ANTP5VERP6NORP7PIAP8HADP9LAWP10LIN
Race Finishing Order (actual)
P1HADP2ANTP3VERP4RUSP5HAMP6LECP7LAWP8BEAP9NORP10LIN
How Accurate
Qualifying Rank rho0.945Mean error: 1.080s
Race Order rho0.881Mean pace error: 2.213s/lap
Pit Window Hit40%8/20 within ±2 laps

Spearman rho: 1.0 = perfect · 0 = random · −1 = inverted · all predictions locked pre-session

Where the Error Came From

Attribution data not available for this event. Requires track_evolution, driver_correction, and fuel_model artifacts.

Prediction Evolution
PLap 17Lap 71
16312
2363
3123
44444
58116
61681
766
8177
93011
10411

Live projected race order at regular intervals — captured mid-race from MQTT telemetry

Pre-Race ML Strategy Prediction
PredDriverCompoundPace/lap
P1RUSSOFT1:07.588
P2HAMSOFT1:07.643
P3HADHARD1:09.120
P4HULSOFT1:10.088
P5LINSOFT1:10.292
P6BORSOFT1:10.443
P7ANTMEDIUM1:10.686
P8LAWSOFT1:11.073
P9STRSOFT1:11.129
P10ALBSOFT1:11.387

Simulated from FP2 degradation + FP3 baseline pace before race start. Locked pre-session.

Qualifying: Predicted vs Actual
DriverPredictedActualΔ
OCO
BOT
PER
SAI
ALB
HUL
STR
ALO
RUS
VER
HAD
NOR
PIA
LEC
HAM

Δ = actual − predicted · negative = faster than expected · positive = slower than expected

Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology