Belgian Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 10
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: -0.800
P1 OCO
P2 GAS
P3 VER
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P3 | -2 |
| P2 | VER | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | NOR | P1 | +2 |
| P4 | RUS | P4 | 0 |
| P5 | LEC | P5 | 0 |
| P6 | HAM | P6 | 0 |
| P7 | PIA | P9 | -2 |
| P8 | LIN | P8 | 0 |
| P9 | BOR | — | — |
| P10 | HAD | P7 | +3 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology