Canadian Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 5
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.347
P1 RUS
P2 LEC
P3 HAM
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | RUS | P2 | -1 |
| P2 | ANT | P1 | +1 |
| P3 | NOR | P6 | -3 |
| P4 | PIA | P7 | -3 |
| P5 | HAM | P3 | +2 |
| P6 | VER | P5 | +1 |
| P7 | HAD | — | — |
| P8 | LEC | P4 | +4 |
| P9 | LIN | P8 | +1 |
| P10 | HUL | P9 | +1 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology