Miami Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 4
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.543
P1 LEC
P2 BOR
P3 GAS
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P5 | -4 |
| P2 | VER | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | LEC | P1 | +2 |
| P4 | NOR | P7 | -3 |
| P5 | RUS | P6 | -1 |
| P6 | HAM | P4 | +2 |
| P7 | PIA | P3 | +4 |
| P8 | COL | — | — |
| P9 | HAD | P9 | 0 |
| P10 | GAS | P8 | +2 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology