Monaco Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 6
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.419
P1 HAD
P2 HAM
P3 LEC
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | VER | — | — |
| P3 | HAM | P3 | 0 |
| P4 | LEC | P2 | +2 |
| P5 | HAD | — | — |
| P6 | RUS | P4 | +2 |
| P7 | PIA | P7 | 0 |
| P8 | NOR | P6 | +2 |
| P9 | GAS | — | — |
| P10 | LAW | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology