Round 6 · Monaco Grand Prix
PREDICTION vs ACTUAL
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANT | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | HAM | 4 | -2 |
| 3 | HAD | 5 | -2 |
| 4 | PIA | 6 | -2 |
| 5 | LAW | 12 | -7 |
| 6 | LIN | 16 | -10 |
| 7 | GAS | 8 | -1 |
| 8 | ALB | 10 | -2 |
| 9 | OCO | 18 | -9 |
| 10 | PER | 19 | -9 |
| 11 | ALO | 21 | -10 |
| 12 | BOR | 15 | -3 |
| 13 | RUS | 9 | +4 |
| 14 | HUL | 13 | +1 |
| 15 | COL | 11 | +4 |
| 16 | SAI | 14 | +2 |
| 17 | LEC | 3 | +14 |
| 18 | STR | 22 | -4 |
| 19 | NOR | 7 | +12 |
| 20 | BEA | 17 | +3 |
| 21 | BOT | 20 | +1 |
ROUND ρ0.47
BIGGEST MISSLEC off by 14 positions
TRUE PACE
Based on pre-race simulation model (avg_lap_time)
| # | Driver | Avg Lap | Δ P1 | Compound | Classification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANT | 75.920s | — | MEDIUM | Pace Advantage |
| 2 | PIA | 76.011s | +91ms | MEDIUM | On Pace |
| 3 | HAD | 76.208s | +288ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 4 | GAS | 76.380s | +460ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
| 5 | LEC | 76.431s | +511ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 6 | HAM | 76.472s | +552ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 7 | SAI | 76.960s | +1040ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 8 | NOR | 77.183s | +1263ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 9 | BOR | 77.226s | +1306ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 10 | COL | 77.289s | +1369ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 11 | LIN | 77.514s | +1594ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 12 | BEA | 77.912s | +1992ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
| 13 | ALB | 78.094s | +2174ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 14 | VER | 78.113s | +2193ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 15 | HUL | 78.319s | +2399ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 16 | BOT | 78.537s | +2617ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 17 | PER | 78.705s | +2785ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 18 | OCO | 79.049s | +3129ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 19 | RUS | 79.456s | +3536ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 20 | STR | 79.924s | +4004ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
| 21 | LAW | 80.984s | +5064ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
| 22 | ALO | 82.901s | +6981ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
PIT STRATEGY VERDICTS
| Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIN | L24 | L58 | +34 laps | Late |
| LAW | L13 | L43 | +30 laps | Late |
| SAI | L24 | L51 | +27 laps | Late |
| GAS | L21 | L44 | +23 laps | Late |
| PIA | L24 | L47 | +23 laps | Late |
| BOR | L24 | L42 | +18 laps | Late |
| ALB | L24 | L42 | +18 laps | Late |
| PER | L20 | L3 | -17 laps | Early |
| OCO | L24 | L8 | -16 laps | Early |
| LEC | L48 | L34 | -14 laps | Early |
| HUL | L24 | L11 | -13 laps | Early |
| ANT | L24 | L36 | +12 laps | Late |
| ALO | L13 | L2 | -11 laps | Early |
| STR | L13 | L3 | -10 laps | Early |
| COL | L24 | L33 | +9 laps | Late |
| HAD | L24 | L31 | +7 laps | Late |
| RUS | L24 | L30 | +6 laps | Late |
| HAM | L24 | L27 | +3 laps | Late |
CORNER OF THE RACE
Lap 45 — SAI passes ALB (power advantage)
Confidence: 80%Lap 45
QUALIFYING POTENTIAL vs REALITY
| Driver | FP3 Lap | Q Lap | Delta | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAS | 75.093s | 73.226s | +1.867s | Exceeded |
| OCO | 76.316s | 74.722s | +1.594s | Exceeded |
| VER | 73.662s | 72.094s | +1.568s | Exceeded |
| LAW | 74.975s | 73.412s | +1.563s | Exceeded |
| HAD | 73.877s | 72.434s | +1.443s | Exceeded |
| COL | 75.179s | 73.995s | +1.184s | Exceeded |
| STR | 77.226s | 76.061s | +1.165s | Exceeded |
| PIA | 73.698s | 72.624s | +1.074s | Exceeded |
| LEC | 73.394s | 72.351s | +1.043s | Exceeded |
| LIN | 75.281s | 74.248s | +1.033s | Exceeded |
| HAM | 73.051s | 72.279s | +0.772s | Exceeded |
| SAI | 74.336s | 73.815s | +0.521s | Exceeded |
| HUL | 74.311s | 73.902s | +0.409s | Exceeded |
| ALO | 75.567s | 75.349s | +0.218s | Exceeded |
| PER | 74.945s | 74.747s | +0.198s | Exceeded |
| BOT | 75.451s | 75.283s | +0.168s | Exceeded |
| BOR | 73.820s | 74.683s | -0.863s | Significant Gap |
CHAMPIONSHIP TITLE RACE
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 262 | +25 | 287 | 427 | 100% |
| RUS | 209 | — | 209 | 316 | 0% |
| ALB | 1 | +4 | 5 | 7 | 0% |
| ALO | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 0% |
ERS DEPLOYMENT MAP
Log in to view ERS deployment map
DEPLOYAcceleration surplus — ERS battery discharged to motor
HARVESTBraking zones — kinetic energy recovered to battery
LIFT/COASTNo throttle, no brake — coasting or minimal input
CLIPBattery depleted at full throttle — no ERS assist
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