Barcelona Grand Prix 2026
Round 7
Race Spearman ρ0.879Strong accuracy
Published atWed, 05 Aug 2026 16:45:33 GMT· from Q
Why this prediction?
Predicted P1: leading pace score backed by frontrow start
Pace Score80.37s
Grid PositionP2
Tyre DeltaMEDIUM
SC Probability35%low — minimal race disturbance expected
Signals derived from locked ML artifacts · no post-session data used
POST-RACE SCORE
0.879Good
SC probability predicted: 35%·SC deployed — missed it ✗
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | HAM | P2 | -1 |
| P2 | RUS | P1 | +1 |
| P3 | NOR | P6 | -3 |
| P4 | VER | P5 | -1 |
| P5 | PIA | P10 | -5 |
Top 5 · Full breakdown below
Grid-Corrected Predictionre-run after grid penalties — 14 drivers shiftedρ 0.886
HAM P10→P2 (-8)PIA P2→P7 (+5)LIN P14→P11 (-3)GAS P11→P14 (+3)LEC P7→P10 (+3)BOR P9→P12 (+3)BEA P17→P15 (-2)OCO P15→P17 (+2)ANT P5→P3 (-2)ALO P21→P22 (+1)VER P4→P5 (+1)HUL P8→P9 (+1)STR P22→P21 (-1)NOR P3→P4 (+1)
| Adj P | Driver | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | RUS | P2 | +1 |
| P2 | NOR | P3 | +1 |
| P3 | ANT | — | — |
| P4 | VER | P4 | 0 |
| P5 | HAM | P1 | -4 |
| P6 | PIA | P5 | -1 |
| P7 | LEC | — | — |
| P8 | BOT | — | — |
| P9 | HUL | — | — |
| P10 | HAD | P6 | -4 |
Locked pre-race using actual starting grid · same pace model as base prediction · scored separately from main ρ · locked Tue, 01 Sep 2026 20:02:22 GMT
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | HAM | P2 | -1 |
| P2 | RUS | P1 | +1 |
| P3 | NOR | P6 | -3 |
| P4 | VER | P5 | -1 |
| P5 | PIA | P10 | -5 |
| P6 | HAD | P9 | -3 |
| P7 | GAS | — | — |
| P8 | COL | — | — |
| P9 | LAW | P8 | +1 |
| P10 | LIN | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology