Belgian Grand Prix 2026
Sprint WeekendRound 10
Race Spearman ρ0.794Strong accuracy
Published atSat, 18 Jul 2026 14:10:59 GMT· from Q
POST-RACE SCORE
0.794Good
SC probability predicted: 45%
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | — | — |
| P2 | LEC | P5 | -3 |
| P3 | VER | P2 | +1 |
| P4 | HAM | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | PIA | P6 | -1 |
Top 5 · Full breakdown below
Grid-Corrected Predictionre-run after grid penalties — 15 drivers shifted
HAD P3→P21 (+18)NOR P1→P13 (+12)SAI P12→P19 (+7)COL P17→P11 (-6)HAM P10→P5 (-5)LIN P4→P7 (+3)HUL P15→P12 (-3)BOT P20→P17 (-3)GAS P13→P10 (-3)LEC P6→P4 (-2)OCO P18→P16 (-2)PIA P8→P6 (-2)STR P22→P20 (-2)ALB P16→P15 (-1)PER P19→P18 (-1)
| Adj P | Driver | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | VER | P3 | +2 |
| P2 | LEC | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | HAM | P4 | +1 |
| P4 | PIA | P5 | +1 |
| P5 | NOR | P7 | +2 |
| P6 | LIN | P9 | +3 |
| P7 | LAW | — | — |
| P8 | GAS | — | — |
| P9 | COL | P10 | +1 |
| P10 | HUL | — | — |
Locked pre-race using actual starting grid · same pace model as base prediction · scored separately from main ρ · locked Tue, 01 Sep 2026 20:02:28 GMT
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | — | — |
| P2 | LEC | P5 | -3 |
| P3 | VER | P2 | +1 |
| P4 | HAM | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | PIA | P6 | -1 |
| P6 | HAD | P4 | +2 |
| P7 | NOR | P1 | +6 |
| P8 | BOR | — | — |
| P9 | LIN | P3 | +6 |
| P10 | COL | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Sprint Weekend Predictions
Sprint WeekendSprint Qualifying Spearman ρ—
Sprint results not yet available.
Sprint Race Spearman ρ—
Sprint results not yet available.
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology