Chinese Grand Prix 2026
Sprint WeekendRound 2
Race Spearman ρ0.875Strong accuracy
Sprint Race ρ0.894
Published atSat, 26 Sep 2026 20:10:42 GMT· from Q
Why this prediction?
Predicted P1: leading pace score backed by frontrow start
Pace Score99.15s
Grid PositionP1
SC Probability48%elevated — factored into call
Signals derived from locked ML artifacts · no post-session data used
POST-RACE SCORE
0.875Good
SC probability predicted: 48%·SC deployed — missed it ✗
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | RUS | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | HAM | P3 | 0 |
| P4 | LEC | P4 | 0 |
| P5 | BEA | P7 | -2 |
Top 5 · Full breakdown below
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | RUS | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | HAM | P3 | 0 |
| P4 | LEC | P4 | 0 |
| P5 | BEA | P7 | -2 |
| P6 | GAS | P6 | 0 |
| P7 | LAW | — | — |
| P8 | HAD | P8 | 0 |
| P9 | SAI | — | — |
| P10 | COL | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Sprint Weekend Predictions
Sprint WeekendSprint Qualifying Spearman ρ—
Sprint results not yet available.
Sprint Race Spearman ρ0.894
Predicted vs Actual — Sprint Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | RUS | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | LEC | P6 | -4 |
| P3 | HAM | P4 | -1 |
| P4 | NOR | P3 | +1 |
| P5 | ANT | P2 | +3 |
| P6 | PIA | P5 | +1 |
| P7 | LAW | — | — |
| P8 | BEA | P9 | -1 |
| P9 | VER | P8 | +1 |
| P10 | OCO | P10 | 0 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology