Japanese Grand Prix 2026
Sprint WeekendRound 3
Race Spearman ρ0.885Strong accuracy
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | PIA | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | LEC | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | RUS | P3 | +1 |
| P5 | NOR | P4 | +1 |
| P6 | HAM | P10 | -4 |
| P7 | GAS | P6 | +1 |
| P8 | VER | P9 | -1 |
| P9 | LAW | — | — |
| P10 | OCO | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology