ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
HAM was quickest through the stadium frenaje section, the biggest sector gain of any driver in the comparison group — over 4.43s ahead of the field median.
Mexico City Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 19
Spearman ρ—
Locked 26m before lights out
Circuit prior ρ0.719avg ρ from prior visits to this circuit
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.570
P1 LEC
P2 LIN
P3 VER
ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
HAM extracted close to the theoretical maximum from the available grip — the gap to a perfect lap across all three sectors was just 0.000s, one of the cleanest extractions in the session.
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | HAM | P9 | -8 |
| P2 | RUS | — | — |
| P3 | LEC | P7 | -4 |
| P4 | VER | P10 | -6 |
| P5 | ANT | P6 | -1 |
| P6 | NOR | P3 | +3 |
| P7 | HAD | P1 | +6 |
| P8 | LAW | P4 | +4 |
| P9 | LIN | P2 | +7 |
| P10 | GAS | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology