Monaco Grand Prix 2026
Round 6
Race Spearman ρ0.552Moderate accuracy
Published atSun, 02 Aug 2026 21:29:35 GMT· from Q
Why this prediction?
Predicted P1: leading pace score backed by frontrow start
Pace Score75.94s
Grid PositionP1
Tyre DeltaSOFT
SC Probability82%elevated — factored into call
Signals derived from locked ML artifacts · no post-session data used
POST-RACE SCORE
0.552Fair
SC probability predicted: 82%·SC deployed — called it ✓
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | HAM | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | HAD | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | PIA | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | LAW | P9 | -4 |
Top 5 · Full breakdown below
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | HAM | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | HAD | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | PIA | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | LAW | P9 | -4 |
| P6 | LIN | — | — |
| P7 | GAS | P6 | +1 |
| P8 | ALB | — | — |
| P9 | OCO | — | — |
| P10 | PER | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology