Australian Grand Prix 2026
RaceRound 1
Spearman ρ0.478Moderate accuracy
Locked 1h 30m before lights out
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.340
P1 LEC
P2 SAI
P3 GAS
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | RUS | P7 | -6 |
| P2 | ANT | P6 | -4 |
| P3 | LEC | P1 | +2 |
| P4 | HAM | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | NOR | P5 | 0 |
| P6 | VER | P2 | +4 |
| P7 | BEA | — | — |
| P8 | LIN | — | — |
| P9 | BOR | — | — |
| P10 | GAS | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology