Round 1 · Australian Grand Prix
Round ρ0.81
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissVER off by 12P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 362 | +18 | 380 | 484 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 29 | +6 | 35 | 47 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1LEC40% conf
P2VER50% conf
P3PIA62% conf
P4SAI20% conf
P5HAD62% conf
▶ Show remaining 17 positions▼ Hide
P6NOR38% conf
P7ANT62% conf
P8RUS62% conf
P9HAM62% conf
P10LAW50% conf
P11ALB50% conf
P12GAS38% conf
P13HUL12% conf
P14OCO25% conf
P15LIN38% conf
P16COL50% conf
P17BEA12% conf
P18ALO20% conf
P19STR20% conf
P20BOR25% conf
P21PER100% conf
P22BOT80% conf