Austrian Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 8
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.740
P1 RUS
P2 HAM
P3 ANT
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | RUS | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | LEC | P4 | -2 |
| P3 | HAM | P9 | -6 |
| P4 | ANT | P2 | +2 |
| P5 | VER | P6 | -1 |
| P6 | NOR | P5 | +1 |
| P7 | PIA | P3 | +4 |
| P8 | HAD | P7 | +1 |
| P9 | LAW | P8 | +1 |
| P10 | LIN | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology