Austrian Grand Prix 2026
RaceRound 8
Spearman ρ0.834Strong accuracy
Locked 28 Jun 2026
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.740
P1 RUS
P2 HAM
P3 ANT
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | RUS | P5 | -4 |
| P2 | VER | P6 | -4 |
| P3 | ANT | P1 | +2 |
| P4 | PIA | P7 | -3 |
| P5 | NOR | P4 | +1 |
| P6 | HAD | P3 | +3 |
| P7 | HAM | P2 | +5 |
| P8 | LAW | P10 | -2 |
| P9 | LIN | P8 | +1 |
| P10 | LEC | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology