British Grand Prix 2026

Qualifying

Round 9

Spearman ρ
FP2 Signals

FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.560

P1 PIA
P2 LEC
P3 HAM
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
ActualDriverPredictedΔ
P1ANTP2-1
P2LECP3-1
P3HAMP1+2
P4RUSP40
P5HADP8-3
P6NORP7-1
P7VERP6+1
P8PIAP5+3
P9LAWP10-1
P10LIN

Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session

Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology