Canadian Grand Prix 2026
RaceRound 5
Spearman ρ0.426Moderate accuracy
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.347
P1 RUS
P2 LEC
P3 HAM
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P4 | -3 |
| P2 | HAM | P6 | -4 |
| P3 | VER | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | LEC | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | HAD | P7 | -2 |
| P6 | LAW | P9 | -3 |
| P7 | GAS | — | — |
| P8 | SAI | — | — |
| P9 | BEA | — | — |
| P10 | PIA | P2 | +8 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology