Dutch Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 12
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.596
P1 LAW
P2 HAM
P3 LEC
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | NOR | P2 | -1 |
| P2 | ANT | P1 | +1 |
| P3 | PIA | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | HAM | P3 | +1 |
| P5 | LEC | P4 | +1 |
| P6 | VER | P10 | -4 |
| P7 | LAW | — | — |
| P8 | BOR | P8 | 0 |
| P9 | LIN | P9 | 0 |
| P10 | GAS | P7 | +3 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology