Round 12 · Dutch Grand Prix
SPRINTRound ρ0.88
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissALO off by 6P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 373 | +7 | 380 | 484 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 35 | — | 35 | 47 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1NOR50% conf
P2ANT50% conf
P3HAM50% conf
P4LEC50% conf
P5PIA50% conf
▶ Show remaining 15 positions▼ Hide
P6VER50% conf
P7LAW50% conf
P8BOR50% conf
P9LIN50% conf
P10HUL50% conf
P11GAS50% conf
P12TSU50% conf
P13COL50% conf
P14OCO50% conf
P15ALB50% conf
P16ALO50% conf
P17SAI50% conf
P18BOT50% conf
P19STR50% conf
P20BEA50% conf