Round 12 · Dutch Grand Prix

SPRINT

PREDICTION vs ACTUAL

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Delta
1	NOR	1	0
2	ANT	2	0
3	RUS		0
4	HAM	3	+1
5	LEC	4	+1
6	PIA	5	+1
7	LAW	7	0
8	HUL	10	-2
9	ALO	16	-7
10	GAS	11	-1
11	TSU	12	-1
12	LIN	9	+3
13	BOR	8	+5
14	COL	13	+1
15	PER	21	-6
16	SAI	17	-1
17	ALB	15	+2
18	BOT	18	0
19	OCO	14	+5
20	STR	19	+1
21	BEA	20	+1
22	VER	6	+16

ROUND ρ0.74

BIGGEST MISSVER off by 16 positions

TRUE PACE

Based on pre-race simulation model (avg_lap_time)

#	Driver	Avg Lap	Δ P1	Compound	Classification
1	ANT	79.450s	—	MEDIUM	Pace Advantage
2	VER	80.030s	+580ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
3	NOR	80.059s	+609ms	SOFT	Pace Deficit
4	HAM	80.088s	+638ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
5	PIA	80.167s	+717ms	SOFT	Pace Deficit
6	LEC	80.379s	+929ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
7	LAW	80.644s	+1194ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
8	LIN	80.663s	+1213ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
9	COL	80.819s	+1369ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
10	TSU	80.886s	+1436ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
11	GAS	80.977s	+1527ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
12	BEA	81.421s	+1971ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
13	OCO	81.462s	+2012ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
14	PER	82.012s	+2562ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
15	STR	82.015s	+2565ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
16	ALB	82.352s	+2902ms	SOFT	Pace Deficit
17	SAI	82.402s	+2952ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
18	ALO	82.489s	+3039ms	SOFT	Pace Deficit
19	BOR	83.005s	+3555ms	HARD	Pace Deficit
20	BOT	83.344s	+3894ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit
21	HUL	84.171s	+4721ms	MEDIUM	Pace Deficit

PIT STRATEGY VERDICTS

Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Verdict
COL	L36	L8	-28 laps	Early
OCO	L24	L2	-22 laps	Early
ALB	L20	L2	-18 laps	Early
BOR	L29	L11	-18 laps	Early
GAS	L35	L18	-17 laps	Early
LIN	L17	L2	-15 laps	Early
LAW	L36	L21	-15 laps	Early
NOR	L17	L2	-15 laps	Early
ALO	L20	L34	+14 laps	Late
PIA	L14	L2	-12 laps	Early
STR	L24	L15	-9 laps	Early
BOT	L20	L28	+8 laps	Late
SAI	L24	L30	+6 laps	Late
HUL	L24	L19	-5 laps	Early
PER	L24	L29	+5 laps	Late
ANT	L24	L21	-3 laps	Early
TSU	L21	L18	-3 laps	Early
HAM	L22	L25	+3 laps	Late
LEC	L19	L21	+2 laps	Called it

CORNER OF THE RACE

Lap 7 — BOR passes ALO (power advantage)

Confidence: 80%Lap 7

CHAMPIONSHIP TITLE RACE

Driver	Before	+pts	After	Proj P50	Title %
ANT	280	+7	287	427	100%
RUS	203	+6	209	316	0%
ALB	5	—	5	7	0%
ALO	2	—	2	2	0%

ERS DEPLOYMENT MAP

DEPLOYAcceleration surplus — ERS battery discharged to motor

HARVESTBraking zones — kinetic energy recovered to battery

LIFT/COASTNo throttle, no brake — coasting or minimal input

CLIPBattery depleted at full throttle — no ERS assist

EXPLORE THIS ROUND

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Delta
1	NOR	1	0
2	ANT	2	0
3	RUS		0
4	HAM	3	+1
5	LEC	4	+1
6	PIA	5	+1
7	LAW	7	0
8	HUL	10	-2
9	ALO	16	-7
10	GAS	11	-1
11	TSU	12	-1
12	LIN	9	+3
13	BOR	8	+5
14	COL	13	+1
15	PER	21	-6
16	SAI	17	-1
17	ALB	15	+2
18	BOT	18	0
19	OCO	14	+5
20	STR	19	+1
21	BEA	20	+1
22	VER	6	+16

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Delta
1	NOR	1	0
2	ANT	2	0
3	RUS		0
4	HAM	3	+1
5	LEC	4	+1
6	PIA	5	+1
7	LAW	7	0
8	HUL	10	-2
9	ALO	16	-7
10	GAS	11	-1
11	TSU	12	-1
12	LIN	9	+3
13	BOR	8	+5
14	COL	13	+1
15	PER	21	-6
16	SAI	17	-1
17	ALB	15	+2
18	BOT	18	0
19	OCO	14	+5
20	STR	19	+1
21	BEA	20	+1
22	VER	6	+16

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Delta
1	NOR	1	0
2	ANT	2	0
3	RUS		0
4	HAM	3	+1
5	LEC	4	+1
6	PIA	5	+1
7	LAW	7	0
8	HUL	10	-2
9	ALO	16	-7
10	GAS	11	-1
11	TSU	12	-1
12	LIN	9	+3
13	BOR	8	+5
14	COL	13	+1
15	PER	21	-6
16	SAI	17	-1
17	ALB	15	+2
18	BOT	18	0
19	OCO	14	+5
20	STR	19	+1
21	BEA	20	+1
22	VER	6	+16