Hungarian Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 11
Spearman ρ—
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.704
P1 HAM
P2 COL
P3 ANT
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | NOR | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | HAM | P4 | -2 |
| P3 | LEC | P2 | +1 |
| P4 | ANT | P9 | -5 |
| P5 | PIA | P3 | +2 |
| P6 | VER | P7 | -1 |
| P7 | RUS | P8 | -1 |
| P8 | HAD | P5 | +3 |
| P9 | LIN | — | — |
| P10 | HUL | P6 | +4 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology