Round 11 · Hungarian Grand Prix
Round ρ0.85
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissSTR off by 8P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 365 | +15 | 380 | 484 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 35 | — | 35 | 47 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1NOR62% conf
P2HAM50% conf
P3ANT50% conf
P4HAD12% conf
P5VER80% conf
▶ Show remaining 15 positions▼ Hide
P6PIA50% conf
P7LEC62% conf
P8RUS25% conf
P9LAW38% conf
P10HUL62% conf
P11LIN80% conf
P12BOR12% conf
P13OCO38% conf
P14ALO80% conf
P15GAS38% conf
P16STR50% conf
P17BEA12% conf
P18ALB80% conf
P19COL100% conf
P20SAI80% conf