ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
GAS was quickest through the braking stability, the biggest sector gain of any driver in the comparison group — over 5.29s ahead of the field median.
Italian Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 13
Spearman ρ—
Circuit prior ρ0.881avg ρ from prior visits to this circuit
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.612
P1 ANT
P2 HAM
P3 LEC
ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
GAS improved consistently as the session progressed, benefiting from an evolving track surface — their best effort came as conditions peaked.
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | GAS | P6 | -5 |
| P2 | RUS | P1 | +1 |
| P3 | ANT | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | PIA | P7 | -3 |
| P5 | LEC | P4 | +1 |
| P6 | HAM | P8 | -2 |
| P7 | NOR | P2 | +5 |
| P8 | VER | P3 | +5 |
| P9 | COL | — | — |
| P10 | LIN | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology