Round 13 · Italian Grand Prix
Round ρ0.88
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissNOR off by 5P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 395 | +25 | 420 | 496 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 35 | — | 35 | 41 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1RUS80% conf
P2GAS100% conf
P3PIA62% conf
P4VER100% conf
P5ANT80% conf
▶ Show remaining 15 positions▼ Hide
P6HAM100% conf
P7LEC100% conf
P8LIN100% conf
P9NOR88% conf
P10COL100% conf
P11LAW62% conf
P12BEA75% conf
P13TSU80% conf
P14SAI100% conf
P15HUL80% conf
P16OCO80% conf
P17ALB100% conf
P18BOT100% conf
P19PER80% conf
P20ALO12% conf