Japanese Grand Prix 2026
RaceRound 3
Spearman ρ-0.049Weak accuracy
Locked 1h 30m before lights out
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.496
P1 BOR
P2 HAM
P3 ANT
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | — | — |
| P2 | PIA | — | — |
| P3 | LEC | P7 | -4 |
| P4 | RUS | — | — |
| P5 | NOR | P5 | 0 |
| P6 | HAM | P8 | -2 |
| P7 | GAS | P3 | +4 |
| P8 | VER | — | — |
| P9 | LAW | P6 | +3 |
| P10 | OCO | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology