Round 3 · Japanese Grand Prix
Round ρ0.36
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissSAI off by 12P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 355 | +25 | 380 | 484 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 35 | — | 35 | 47 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1LIN25% conf
P2BOR25% conf
P3GAS62% conf
P4HUL38% conf
P5NOR25% conf
▶ Show remaining 17 positions▼ Hide
P6LAW50% conf
P7LEC62% conf
P8HAM50% conf
P9COL100% conf
P10SAI100% conf
P11ANT80% conf
P12PIA50% conf
P13OCO50% conf
P14ALB50% conf
P15BEA38% conf
P16VER62% conf
P17HAD100% conf
P18RUS12% conf
P19STR25% conf
P20BOT12% conf
P21PER38% conf
P22ALO50% conf