Miami Grand Prix 2026
RaceRound 4
Spearman ρ0.613Moderate accuracy
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.543
P1 LEC
P2 BOR
P3 GAS
Predicted vs Actual — Race Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P1 | 0 |
| P2 | NOR | P4 | -2 |
| P3 | PIA | P5 | -2 |
| P4 | RUS | P9 | -5 |
| P5 | VER | P2 | +3 |
| P6 | LEC | P3 | +3 |
| P7 | HAM | P6 | +1 |
| P8 | COL | P7 | +1 |
| P9 | SAI | — | — |
| P10 | ALB | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology