ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
NOR was quickest through the high speed section, the biggest sector gain of any driver in the comparison group — over 7.28s ahead of the field median.
Spanish Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 14
Spearman ρ—
Circuit prior ρ0.896avg ρ from prior visits to this circuit
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.427
P1 LEC
P2 PIA
P3 TSU
ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
NOR improved consistently as the session progressed, benefiting from an evolving track surface — their best effort came as conditions peaked.
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | NOR | P3 | -2 |
| P2 | ANT | P5 | -3 |
| P3 | VER | P4 | -1 |
| P4 | HAM | P8 | -4 |
| P5 | LEC | P2 | +3 |
| P6 | RUS | P6 | 0 |
| P7 | PIA | P1 | +6 |
| P8 | LAW | P7 | +1 |
| P9 | COL | — | — |
| P10 | LIN | — | — |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology