Round 14 · Spanish Grand Prix
PREDICTION vs ACTUAL
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANT | 2 | -1 |
| 2 | VER | 3 | -1 |
| 3 | NOR | 1 | +2 |
| 4 | LEC | 6 | -2 |
| 6 | LAW | 9 | -3 |
| 7 | COL | 11 | -4 |
| 8 | PIA | 7 | +1 |
| 9 | LIN | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | HUL | 10 | 0 |
| 11 | OCO | 13 | -2 |
| 12 | GAS | 15 | -3 |
| 13 | BOR | 12 | +1 |
| 14 | TSU | 14 | 0 |
| 15 | ALB | 16 | -1 |
| 16 | BEA | 17 | -1 |
| 17 | ALO | 20 | -3 |
| 18 | BOT | 21 | -3 |
| 19 | SAI | 18 | +1 |
| 22 | HAM | 4 | +18 |
| DNF | RUS | 5 | — |
| DNF | PER | 19 | — |
| DNF | STR | 22 | — |
ROUND ρ0.75
BIGGEST MISSHAM off by 18 positions
TRUE PACE
Based on pre-race simulation model (avg_lap_time)
| # | Driver | Avg Lap | Δ P1 | Compound | Classification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIN | 96.183s | — | MEDIUM | Pace Advantage |
| 2 | HUL | 96.708s | +525ms | HARD | Pace Deficit |
| 3 | RUS | 99.003s | +2820ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 4 | NOR | 99.122s | +2939ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 5 | VER | 100.265s | +4082ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 6 | PIA | 100.378s | +4195ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
| 7 | OCO | 100.633s | +4450ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 8 | TSU | 100.803s | +4620ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 9 | HAM | 101.720s | +5537ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 10 | BOR | 102.085s | +5902ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 11 | GAS | 102.902s | +6719ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 12 | BEA | 103.030s | +6847ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 13 | LAW | 103.106s | +6923ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 14 | COL | 103.542s | +7359ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 15 | SAI | 103.974s | +7791ms | SOFT | Pace Deficit |
| 16 | PER | 104.036s | +7853ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 17 | ALB | 105.717s | +9534ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 18 | STR | 106.488s | +10305ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 19 | LEC | 107.227s | +11044ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 20 | ANT | 107.556s | +11373ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 21 | BOT | 110.250s | +14067ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
| 22 | ALO | 111.651s | +15468ms | MEDIUM | Pace Deficit |
PIT STRATEGY VERDICTS
| Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOR | L21 | L47 | +26 laps | Late |
| LEC | L24 | L48 | +24 laps | Late |
| HUL | L36 | L13 | -23 laps | Early |
| PIA | L20 | L42 | +22 laps | Late |
| LAW | L24 | L44 | +20 laps | Late |
| BEA | L19 | L33 | +14 laps | Late |
| TSU | L24 | L36 | +12 laps | Late |
| PER | L24 | L13 | -11 laps | Early |
| ALO | L24 | L13 | -11 laps | Early |
| LIN | L24 | L13 | -11 laps | Early |
| OCO | L24 | L13 | -11 laps | Early |
| VER | L24 | L14 | -10 laps | Early |
| COL | L22 | L13 | -9 laps | Early |
| RUS | L20 | L13 | -7 laps | Early |
| ALB | L20 | L13 | -7 laps | Early |
| ANT | L20 | L13 | -7 laps | Early |
| NOR | L20 | L14 | -6 laps | Early |
| BOT | L24 | L29 | +5 laps | Late |
| SAI | L22 | L23 | +1 laps | Called it |
CORNER OF THE RACE
Lap 3 — ALO passes STR (power advantage)
Confidence: 80%Lap 3
QUALIFYING POTENTIAL vs REALITY
| Driver | FP3 Lap | Q Lap | Delta | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALB | 106.647s | 95.307s | +11.340s | Exceeded |
| NOR | 94.099s | 91.824s | +2.275s | Exceeded |
| HAM | 94.284s | 92.013s | +2.271s | Exceeded |
| ANT | 93.664s | 91.835s | +1.829s | Exceeded |
| LIN | 94.505s | 93.041s | +1.464s | Exceeded |
| COL | 94.346s | 92.903s | +1.443s | Exceeded |
| RUS | 93.499s | 92.149s | +1.350s | Exceeded |
| LEC | 93.332s | 92.019s | +1.313s | Exceeded |
| GAS | 94.971s | 93.753s | +1.218s | Exceeded |
| VER | 93.172s | 91.964s | +1.208s | Exceeded |
| BOR | 94.288s | 93.388s | +0.900s | Exceeded |
| OCO | 94.430s | 93.667s | +0.763s | Exceeded |
| HUL | 93.933s | 93.223s | +0.710s | Exceeded |
| PIA | 92.986s | 92.294s | +0.692s | Exceeded |
| SAI | 95.947s | 95.312s | +0.635s | Exceeded |
| PER | 96.441s | 95.913s | +0.528s | Exceeded |
| TSU | 94.565s | 94.084s | +0.481s | Exceeded |
| ALO | 95.020s | 95.388s | -0.368s | Significant Gap |
| BOT | 97.065s | 98.011s | -0.946s | Significant Gap |
| STR | 95.570s | 103.709s | -8.139s | Significant Gap |
CHAMPIONSHIP TITLE RACE
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 312 | +25 | 337 | 475 | 100% |
| RUS | 237 | — | 237 | 342 | 0% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 6 | 0% |
| ALO | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 0% |
DRIVER DNA STANDOUTS
ALBteammate edge
+1.00 (above 2026 avg)ALBERS efficiency
-1.00 (below 2026 avg)ERS DEPLOYMENT MAP
Log in to view ERS deployment map
DEPLOYAcceleration surplus — ERS battery discharged to motor
HARVESTBraking zones — kinetic energy recovered to battery
LIFT/COASTNo throttle, no brake — coasting or minimal input
CLIPBattery depleted at full throttle — no ERS assist
PRE-RACE INTELLIGENCEFull Brief →
SC Probability
35%
In Form: LEC
77th %ile
In Form: HAM
77th %ile
Model Signal
0.8154 on 2026 visits