Round 14 · Spanish Grand Prix
Round ρ0.91
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissALB off by 6P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 395 | +25 | 420 | 496 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 35 | — | 35 | 41 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1NOR20% conf
P2ANT12% conf
P3VER80% conf
P4HAM50% conf
P5RUS70% conf
▶ Show remaining 15 positions▼ Hide
P6LEC25% conf
P7PIA70% conf
P8LIN20% conf
P9LAW12% conf
P10HUL25% conf
P11COL70% conf
P12BOR25% conf
P13OCO80% conf
P14TSU70% conf
P15GAS80% conf
P16ALB50% conf
P17BEA70% conf
P18SAI12% conf
P19PER80% conf
P20ALO12% conf