ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
ANT was quickest through the esses sequence, the biggest sector gain of any driver in the comparison group — over 6.35s ahead of the field median.
United States Grand Prix 2026
QualifyingRound 18
Spearman ρ—
Circuit prior ρ0.889avg ρ from prior visits to this circuit
FP2 → Race calibration ρ: 0.709
P1 LEC
P2 ANT
P3 COL
ci-perf-insightHigh confidence
ANT improved consistently as the session progressed, benefiting from an evolving track surface — their best effort came as conditions peaked.
Predicted vs Actual — Qualifying Finishing Order
| Actual | Driver | Predicted | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | ANT | P3 | -2 |
| P2 | LEC | P2 | 0 |
| P3 | VER | — | — |
| P4 | HAD | P10 | -6 |
| P5 | RUS | P6 | -1 |
| P6 | HAM | P1 | +5 |
| P7 | NOR | P5 | +2 |
| P8 | PIA | P4 | +4 |
| P9 | LIN | — | — |
| P10 | LAW | P8 | +2 |
Δ = actual position − predicted position · positive = model overrated driver · 0 = exact · all predictions locked pre-session
Prediction locked pre-session · scored against actual result post-race · methodology