Round 18 · United States Grand Prix
Round ρ0.89
Spearman rank correlation — 1.0 = perfect, 0.0 = random. Measures how well the model ordered the finishing positions.
Biggest MissNOR off by 6P
Driver where the model's predicted finish was furthest from the actual result.
Championship Title Race
Points swing from this round — how the standings shifted for the top title contenders
| Driver | Before | +pts | After | Proj P50 | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 395 | +25 | 420 | 496 | 100% |
| ALB | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| ALO | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| BEA | 35 | — | 35 | 41 | 0% |
Published Prediction
Full Prediction →The pre-race prediction published before lights out — locked and immutable. This is the model's committed ranking before any results were known.
P1VER60% conf
P2ANT12% conf
P3HAD12% conf
P4LEC62% conf
P5HAM38% conf
▶ Show remaining 15 positions▼ Hide
P6LAW75% conf
P7LIN75% conf
P8GAS88% conf
P9PIA20% conf
P10RUS75% conf
P11NOR38% conf
P12ALO75% conf
P13HUL88% conf
P14BOR12% conf
P15COL12% conf
P16BEA12% conf
P17OCO100% conf
P18STR70% conf
P19SAI12% conf
P20ALB62% conf