2026 Season Scorecard
avg ρ 0.787Season Summary
Season avg ρ0.787Strong
Events scored18races + 6 sprints evaluated
Beats grid position14/17events where model > qualifying order
Race-by-Race ρ Trend
Model vs Baselines — Spearman ρ per Round
Model accuracy compared to simply using the qualifying grid order or championship standing as a prediction.
Prediction Highlights
Per-Driver Accuracy
| Driver | Races | Within 2 Pos | Avg Delta | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 20 | 85.0% | +0.15 | neutral |
| RUS | 19 | 73.7% | +2.21 | under |
| LEC | 18 | 66.7% | +0.83 | under |
| HAM | 20 | 65.0% | -1.25 | over |
| VER | 16 | 62.5% | -3.75 | over |
| BOR | 19 | 57.9% | -1.32 | over |
| HUL | 16 | 56.3% | -1.44 | over |
| LIN | 20 | 55.0% | -2.00 | over |
| OCO | 20 | 55.0% | -1.10 | over |
| PIA | 15 | 53.3% | +1.87 | under |